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Paulo Carvão

Research Fellow, Harvard Kennedy School

Technology policy, artificial intelligence, and the institutions shaping public life.

Portrait of Paulo Carvão
Featured work
You Outsourced the AI—but You Still Own the RiskWhen Federal Agencies Pick AI VendorsBook Review of Rewiring DemocracyBeating the AI BubbleIs the AI Bubble Bursting?Beyond AI RegulationCongress's Inaction on AI Policy

About

Paulo Carvão is a Research Fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard Kennedy School.

A former IBM executive, he brings more than 30 years of experience in technology and business leadership across global markets.

Paulo advises technology startups, invests in venture capital, and serves as the inaugural Entrepreneur-in-Residence at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics GovLab.

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Research

Selected academic work on technology policy, artificial intelligence, governance, and innovation.

2026
Research articleAn Instrument to Evaluate Governance Proposals: AI Policy Analysis at ScalePaulo Carvão, Claudio Mayrink Verdun, Isabel Adler and Jeffrey ZhouarXiv2026
Journal articleThe AI Infrastructure Triad in Regional Governance: How Regions Balance Progress, Sustainability, and EquityPaulo Carvão and Tushar KanadeAI & Society2025
Working paperGovernance at a Crossroads: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Innovation in AmericaPaulo Carvão, Slavina Ancheva, Yam Atir, Shaurya Jeloka and Brian ZhouHarvard Kennedy School2024
Journal articleThe Dual Imperative: Innovation and Regulation in the AI EraPaulo CarvãoInternational Journal of Technology Policy and Law
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Writing

Commentary and analysis for the industry press on AI, democratic institutions, markets, and the future of work.

01Harvard Business Review · July 9, 2026You Outsourced the AI—but You Still Own the Risk02Harvard Data Science Review · June 2026Book Review of Rewiring Democracy03Tech Policy Press · May 11, 2026When Federal Agencies Pick AI Vendors, They Are Buying Different Policy Interpretations04Forbes · February 13, 2026The Problem With Tech's Latest “Something Big Is Happening” Manifesto05Fast Company · November 25, 2025Beating the AI Bubble06Harvard Business Review · October 16, 2025Is AI a Boom or a Bubble?07Forbes · August 21, 2025Is the AI Bubble Bursting? Lessons From the Dot-Com Era08Lawfare · March 13, 2025A Dynamic Governance Model for AI09The Conversation · March 7, 2025Beyond AI Regulation: How Government and Industry Can Team Up to Make the Technology Safer Without Hindering Innovation10The Hill · October 18, 2024Congress's Inaction on AI Policy Raises Concerns Over Tech Chaos
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Interviews

Selected conversations on technology, business, policy, and the institutions navigating change.

01Folha de S.Paulo · April 14, 2026EUA e China Vivem Empate Técnico na Corrida pela IA02Al Jazeera · February 27, 2026Anthropic and the Department of War03Folha de S.Paulo · February 7, 2026Oposição a Data Centers Explode, e 2026 Vira Ano da Politização da IA nos EUA04WBUR · On Point · January 9, 2026A Strange Turn in the AI Chip Race With China05POLITICO · December 23, 2025Trump, Atoms, AI and the Texas Data Center Gusher06Barron's · November 25, 2025AI-Fueled Stocks Power Ahead, Shaking Off 1990s Parallels07Café da Manhã · Spotify · October 24, 2025A Bolha da IA08Nikkei · October 16, 2025OpenAI and NVIDIA's ¥200 Trillion Circular Investment09Bloomberg · October 7, 2025OpenAI, Nvidia Fuel $1 Trillion AI Market With Web of Circular Deals10Pondering AI · February 7, 2024Public Interest, Politics and Privacy With Paulo Carvão